- Kari Norman
Senior Economist
Canada: Household Wealth Climbs Amid Ongoing Debt Challenges
Highlights
- Canadian households were more prosperous in Q4 2025 as net wealth rose 1.3% q/q in the quarter (up $230.2B to $18.6T)—the ninth straight quarterly increase. This gain was largely supported by an increase in financial assets (+2.5% or $296.9B). This was slightly offset by higher household liabilities such as mortgage and non-mortgage debt (+1.0% or $33.0B) and a modest decline in residential real estate value of -0.4%.
- Household borrowing slowed to $36.2B in Q4. Beneath the surface, mortgage demand rose to $28.7B while non-mortgage debt, including consumer credit, fell to $7.5B from $10.6B in Q3.
- Household credit market debt surpassed $3.2T in Q4. Relative to household disposable income, the debt ratio rose for a fifth consecutive quarter, reaching 177.2%, though it remained below the historic high of 188.2% reached in Q3 2022 (graph 1). Canadian households continue to stand out as the most highly indebted in the G7.
- The household debt service ratio—the share of disposable income directed toward debt payments—edged down to 14.57%, but still close to its 15.1% peak in Q1 2023. Mortgage principal payments increased for the seventh consecutive quarter (+1.0%), while mortgage interest payments dipped (-0.6%). The mortgage-only debt service ratio eased slightly to 7.8% in Q4—below the record high of 8.2% in Q1 2023 but still elevated (graph 2).
Comments
Stock market gains eased off their breakneck speeds in Q4 2025, with the S&P/TSX Composite rising 5.6% and the S&P 500 a more modest 2.4%. Throughout last year, the S&P/TSX posted a strong 28.2% gain—the largest annual increase since 2009—while the S&P 500 rose 16.4%. These gains would have accrued disproportionately to higher wealth households in Canada, as the wealthiest 20% continued to hold nearly two thirds of all financial assets. The weaker investment earnings paired with softer income growth contributed to a decline in the savings rate External link. in Q4 to 4.4% from 5.2%. Household spending External link. increased in the quarter, driven mainly by higher expenditures on rent and services.
Implications
Looking ahead, higher mortgage payments at renewal remain a central concern for many households and are likely to restrain consumer spending while supporting elevated savings in the near term. Despite employment losses External link. in early 2026, wage growth has strengthened and continues to outpace inflation. With higher oil prices External link. expected to impact inflation, financial markets have shifted from anticipating rate cuts to considering the possibility of rate hikes in Canada. Longer-term bond yields have risen somewhat as a consequence, pushing up borrowing costs. Even so, the weak labour market data at the start the year should help reduce pressure on the Bank of Canada to pre-empt what may prove to be a temporary, albeit highly uncertain, supply shock. The Bank must also weigh the downside risks associated with the upcoming Canada‑United States‑Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) review External link.. As a result, we continue to expect policy rates to remain on hold for the foreseeable future.