- Sonny Scarfone
Principal Economist
Quebec: Monthly GDP
Growth Remained Modest in April
Highlights
- In April 2026, Quebec’s real GDP increased by 0.1%, a more modest pace than that observed in Canada External link. (+0.5%). Unlike Canada, however, Quebec’s economy posted growth in the first quarter, with real GDP rising at a 1.0% annualized rate.
Comments
The modest increase recorded in April is consistent with a period of weak economic growth that has characterized Quebec’s economy for roughly the past year (graph). The trade conflict with the United States has been a key factor keeping economic activity on this subdued trajectory.
Economic output nevertheless remains 0.5% below its January 2025 peak, with all goods-producing industries posting declines (table). In addition to the trade conflict, slower population growth continues to weigh on economic activity.
Compared with the first four months of 2025, a few positive developments are worth highlighting. The accommodation and food services sector, as well as the arts, entertainment and recreation sector, are operating at levels above those observed before the slowdown of recent quarters. This strength may partly reflect solid domestic tourism activity and the performance of the Montreal Canadiens, whose economic spin-offs likely continued to be felt in May.
Over the past year, the wholesale and retail trade sector, along with finance and real estate-related industries, have also proven more resilient than industries most exposed to trade tensions.
Implications
Quebec’s economy continues to tread water. Despite some pockets of resilience, particularly in services, the trade conflict, demographic factors and slower growth in government spending are limiting the province’s growth prospects.