- Florence Jean-Jacobs, Principal Economist • Sonny Scarfone, Principal Economist
Economic Viewpoint
Is Quebec’s economy going K-shaped? Not really
But wealth plays a greater role in economic success, straining the social contract
August 24, 2026
- Quebec’s economy isn’t particularly K‑shaped, especially compared with that of the United States. Consumer spending is still relatively well distributed between the different income groups.
- After‑tax incomes remain more evenly distributed in Quebec than in Canada as a whole, though some disparities have widened since the pandemic.
- Quebec’s household debt ratio is also lower than Canada’s, particularly among low-income households.
- Wealth concentration remains more pronounced in Quebec than in Canada as a whole, although several indicators suggest it is gradually declining.
- Wealth is playing an increasingly important role in the economy, and wealth growth has far outpaced income growth in recent decades, both in Quebec and other advanced economies.
- In an average household, with two adults each earning the median income, it would now take decades of saving to reach the highest quintiles. This gap has widened significantly since the late 1990s.
- This means that the wealth an individual begins with now plays a greater role in their economic advancement than it did in the past.
- This change may be contributing to the disconnect we’ve observed: the economy may be resilient, but some segments of the population remain pessimistic.
- The real risk is not necessarily that Quebec’s economy becomes K‑shaped. Rather, it’s that one of the pillars of our social contract may be gradually eroding: the idea that hard work, savings and effort are enough to build a better life for oneself.